This year's machine tool industry growth rate is expected to exceed 10%
The editors entered the third quarter, and the machine tool industry showed signs of recovery. On the whole, there are more companies that are optimistic about the operation of the whole industry in the fourth quarter of this year, because the development of China's automobile, construction machinery, railway, wind power and new energy industries has created a strong demand atmosphere for the machine tool market. However, what we are most looking forward to is not the growth in numbers, but the development situation in which the industrial layout is reasonable and the market is rational and prosperous.
Recently, the reporter learned from the Marketing Department of China Machine Tool Industry Association that the growth rate of industrial output value of China's machine tool industry in the first three quarters has steadily increased, and the monthly growth rate in the third quarter has risen to double digits. At the same time, the profit decline of the whole industry also began to narrow, and corporate losses have shrunk, but the situation of sharp decline in imports and exports has not improved, and the decline in exports is particularly serious.
According to the staff of the marketing department of the association, thanks to the national economic stimulus package, the indicators of the machine tool industry have stabilized in March, and the confidence of the enterprise market has increased. According to the statistics of the first nine months, the production and sales rate of the machine tool industry reached 97.2%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year.
The source believes that the current domestic demand has not yet fully recovered, but the demand for machine tools in a number of key industries continues to be strong. It is expected that the growth rate of machine tool industry in the whole industry will reach about 10% in 2009, and the gold cutting machine tool industry will be flat or slightly increased. Imports of metalworking machine tools will reach US$6.1 billion for the year, and exports will fall back to US$1.4 billion.
It is understood that the growth rate of the industrial output value of the machine tool industry in the first two quarters has been around 5%, while the growth rate in July, August and September is relatively high, driving the cumulative growth rate from January to September. 9.1%, the development situation is good. (The completion of monthly industrial output value in 2009 and the year-on-year growth rate are shown in Figure 1)
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to September, the total industrial output value of the machine tool industry reached 272.62 billion yuan, an increase of 9.1% year-on-year; the total industrial output value in September increased by 18.2% year-on-year. Among them, privately-held enterprises and other types of enterprises achieved a relatively high growth rate of 19.0% and 17.7% respectively; collective holding companies got rid of negative growth and achieved a slight increase of 1.1%; the degree of decline of state-owned enterprises slowed down compared with the first half of the year. , which was -6.7%; Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and foreign-controlled enterprises were better than the first half of the year, but the rate of decline was still double-digit, -13.7% and -16.9%.
In terms of sub-sectors, in the machine tool industry, the output value of the metal cutting machine industry, which accounts for a quarter of the total industry, has been negative for the fifth consecutive month since April this year. The decline has basically remained at 2%. . Since September, the industry's monthly industrial output growth rate has reached 12.0%, an increase of 8.5% from the previous month, and the growth rate is relatively large. The cumulative industrial output value growth from January to September was the same as that of the same period last year.
According to the statistics of the China Machine Tool Industry Association on 125 key contact machine tools, except for March and September, the monthly gross industrial output was negative. Since March, the monthly gross industrial output value of the gold cutting machine tool industry has fluctuated mainly between 4.5 billion and 5 billion yuan. In August, it exceeded 5 billion yuan, a significant increase from the first few months of this year, but it is still unstable. Falling back, given the low base last year, there was a significant increase in September.
Although the sales growth rate of Jinchee's products from January to August increased by 0.9 percentage points from January to May, it increased by 6.7% year-on-year. However, the decline in product sales revenue increased by 1.4 percentage points from January to May. Obviously, the machine tool industry is generally improving, but the gold cutting machine industry is still unstable.
Product structure has been adjusted The financial crisis has different impacts on the demand for various types of machine tools. The demand for ordinary and low-grade CNC machine tools has shrunk dramatically, and large and heavy-duty CNC machine tools have maintained stable demand.
According to the statistics of the association, from January to September 2009, the numerical control rate of the output value of metal processing machine tools was 53.6%, an increase of 6.0 percentage points year-on-year. The output of gold cutting machine tools and the output of CNC machine tools decreased by 30.6% and 13.8% respectively over the same period, and the average unit price increased by 34% and 21% respectively compared with the same period of last year. From the second half of last year to September this year, the average unit price growth rate of machine tools is accelerating, especially in the first half of this year, an average increase of more than 10 percentage points from a year ago.
In addition, the import of machine parts in the third quarter of this year reached the peak of the last four quarters. It can be seen that the number of domestically produced machine tools that need to be equipped with imported parts is increasing.
The structure of imported machine tools is also constantly changing to high-end and large-scale, which can be seen from the unit price of imported machine tools. From January to September this year, the average unit price of imported machine tools was US$89,000, an increase of 11% over the same period last year.
China's monthly import value of machine tool products reached a maximum of 990 million US dollars in June. After a decline in July and August, it climbed again in September, reaching 940 million US dollars, down 16.4% year-on-year and 31.5% month-on-month. %, became the second month of this year to import more than 900 million US dollars.
The decline in exports has been affected by the financial crisis, and the international machine tool market continues to be sluggish. In the first nine months of this year, the consumer markets of the world's major machine tool producing countries and regions experienced a sharp decline.
According to the statistics of the association, China's machine tool products exports from January to September were 3.39 billion US dollars, down 37.9% year-on-year; among them, metal processing machine tools exported 1.03 billion US dollars, down 36.3% year-on-year. Compared with the export volume of the whole industry, the monthly ratio showed a slight upward trend. Among them, the export volume in September reached the highest monthly value of 460 million US dollars this year. (The whole industry and the monthly export of metalworking machine tools are shown in Figure 3.)
Statistics also show that the current unit price of exporting machine tools in China continues to fall, and the average unit price has dropped by 25%. In particular, combination machine tools, CNC horizontal lathes, CNC gear processing machines, bench drills, polishing machines, planers, broaching machines, sawing machines, forming bending machines, punching machines, mechanical presses and other types of machine tools have a relatively large decline. Relevant persons of the association believe that most of these products are export products with low added value and traditional advantages. The decline in unit price may be the reason why the country's recent increase in tax rebates has reduced the cost of enterprises, or it may be that enterprises seize the international market. The active price reduction behavior of the share.
Among the export products, there are also many types of machine tool export unit prices continue to rise, such as: CNC lathes, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC gantry milling machines, CNC grinding machines, horizontal and gantry machining centers, forging or stamping machine tools, cutting machine tools, etc., which reflects The trend of China's export products to high-end and large-scale development.
According to the economic operation of the machine tool industry in the first three quarters, the association believes that in 2009, the economic operation of the machine tool industry was basically at a low level and a small wave of dynamics. In the second half of the year, the domestic economy showed signs of recovery, but the impact of the financial crisis on the industry and uncertainties remained. Existence, so the industry still faces great difficulties.
Recently, the reporter learned from the Marketing Department of China Machine Tool Industry Association that the growth rate of industrial output value of China's machine tool industry in the first three quarters has steadily increased, and the monthly growth rate in the third quarter has risen to double digits. At the same time, the profit decline of the whole industry also began to narrow, and corporate losses have shrunk, but the situation of sharp decline in imports and exports has not improved, and the decline in exports is particularly serious.
According to the staff of the marketing department of the association, thanks to the national economic stimulus package, the indicators of the machine tool industry have stabilized in March, and the confidence of the enterprise market has increased. According to the statistics of the first nine months, the production and sales rate of the machine tool industry reached 97.2%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year.
The source believes that the current domestic demand has not yet fully recovered, but the demand for machine tools in a number of key industries continues to be strong. It is expected that the growth rate of machine tool industry in the whole industry will reach about 10% in 2009, and the gold cutting machine tool industry will be flat or slightly increased. Imports of metalworking machine tools will reach US$6.1 billion for the year, and exports will fall back to US$1.4 billion.
It is understood that the growth rate of the industrial output value of the machine tool industry in the first two quarters has been around 5%, while the growth rate in July, August and September is relatively high, driving the cumulative growth rate from January to September. 9.1%, the development situation is good. (The completion of monthly industrial output value in 2009 and the year-on-year growth rate are shown in Figure 1)
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to September, the total industrial output value of the machine tool industry reached 272.62 billion yuan, an increase of 9.1% year-on-year; the total industrial output value in September increased by 18.2% year-on-year. Among them, privately-held enterprises and other types of enterprises achieved a relatively high growth rate of 19.0% and 17.7% respectively; collective holding companies got rid of negative growth and achieved a slight increase of 1.1%; the degree of decline of state-owned enterprises slowed down compared with the first half of the year. , which was -6.7%; Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and foreign-controlled enterprises were better than the first half of the year, but the rate of decline was still double-digit, -13.7% and -16.9%.
In terms of sub-sectors, in the machine tool industry, the output value of the metal cutting machine industry, which accounts for a quarter of the total industry, has been negative for the fifth consecutive month since April this year. The decline has basically remained at 2%. . Since September, the industry's monthly industrial output growth rate has reached 12.0%, an increase of 8.5% from the previous month, and the growth rate is relatively large. The cumulative industrial output value growth from January to September was the same as that of the same period last year.
According to the statistics of the China Machine Tool Industry Association on 125 key contact machine tools, except for March and September, the monthly gross industrial output was negative. Since March, the monthly gross industrial output value of the gold cutting machine tool industry has fluctuated mainly between 4.5 billion and 5 billion yuan. In August, it exceeded 5 billion yuan, a significant increase from the first few months of this year, but it is still unstable. Falling back, given the low base last year, there was a significant increase in September.
Although the sales growth rate of Jinchee's products from January to August increased by 0.9 percentage points from January to May, it increased by 6.7% year-on-year. However, the decline in product sales revenue increased by 1.4 percentage points from January to May. Obviously, the machine tool industry is generally improving, but the gold cutting machine industry is still unstable.
Product structure has been adjusted The financial crisis has different impacts on the demand for various types of machine tools. The demand for ordinary and low-grade CNC machine tools has shrunk dramatically, and large and heavy-duty CNC machine tools have maintained stable demand.
According to the statistics of the association, from January to September 2009, the numerical control rate of the output value of metal processing machine tools was 53.6%, an increase of 6.0 percentage points year-on-year. The output of gold cutting machine tools and the output of CNC machine tools decreased by 30.6% and 13.8% respectively over the same period, and the average unit price increased by 34% and 21% respectively compared with the same period of last year. From the second half of last year to September this year, the average unit price growth rate of machine tools is accelerating, especially in the first half of this year, an average increase of more than 10 percentage points from a year ago.
In addition, the import of machine parts in the third quarter of this year reached the peak of the last four quarters. It can be seen that the number of domestically produced machine tools that need to be equipped with imported parts is increasing.
The structure of imported machine tools is also constantly changing to high-end and large-scale, which can be seen from the unit price of imported machine tools. From January to September this year, the average unit price of imported machine tools was US$89,000, an increase of 11% over the same period last year.
China's monthly import value of machine tool products reached a maximum of 990 million US dollars in June. After a decline in July and August, it climbed again in September, reaching 940 million US dollars, down 16.4% year-on-year and 31.5% month-on-month. %, became the second month of this year to import more than 900 million US dollars.
The decline in exports has been affected by the financial crisis, and the international machine tool market continues to be sluggish. In the first nine months of this year, the consumer markets of the world's major machine tool producing countries and regions experienced a sharp decline.
According to the statistics of the association, China's machine tool products exports from January to September were 3.39 billion US dollars, down 37.9% year-on-year; among them, metal processing machine tools exported 1.03 billion US dollars, down 36.3% year-on-year. Compared with the export volume of the whole industry, the monthly ratio showed a slight upward trend. Among them, the export volume in September reached the highest monthly value of 460 million US dollars this year. (The whole industry and the monthly export of metalworking machine tools are shown in Figure 3.)
Statistics also show that the current unit price of exporting machine tools in China continues to fall, and the average unit price has dropped by 25%. In particular, combination machine tools, CNC horizontal lathes, CNC gear processing machines, bench drills, polishing machines, planers, broaching machines, sawing machines, forming bending machines, punching machines, mechanical presses and other types of machine tools have a relatively large decline. Relevant persons of the association believe that most of these products are export products with low added value and traditional advantages. The decline in unit price may be the reason why the country's recent increase in tax rebates has reduced the cost of enterprises, or it may be that enterprises seize the international market. The active price reduction behavior of the share.
Among the export products, there are also many types of machine tool export unit prices continue to rise, such as: CNC lathes, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC gantry milling machines, CNC grinding machines, horizontal and gantry machining centers, forging or stamping machine tools, cutting machine tools, etc., which reflects The trend of China's export products to high-end and large-scale development.
According to the economic operation of the machine tool industry in the first three quarters, the association believes that in 2009, the economic operation of the machine tool industry was basically at a low level and a small wave of dynamics. In the second half of the year, the domestic economy showed signs of recovery, but the impact of the financial crisis on the industry and uncertainties remained. Existence, so the industry still faces great difficulties.
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